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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Feb 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
1
Weeks
6
Days
8
Hours
57
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Feb 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.410
4.50 - 4.75
71.7%
4.25 - 4.50
28.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 28.3% | 32.3% | 16.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 71.7% | 67.7% | 83.9% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 15, 2023 03:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.345
4.75 - 5.00
69.0%
5.00 - 5.25
4.5%
4.50 - 4.75
26.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 26.5% | 30.3% | 13.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 69.0% | 65.5% | 73.6% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 4.5% | 4.3% | 12.7% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 03, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.145
4.75 - 5.00
56.1%
5.00 - 5.25
24.1%
5.25 - 5.50
1.4%
4.50 - 4.75
18.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 18.5% | 20.9% | 8.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 56.1% | 54.6% | 52.6% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 24.1% | 23.2% | 34.1% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 4.5% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 14, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.145
4.75 - 5.00
55.0%
5.00 - 5.25
25.0%
5.25 - 5.50
2.0%
4.50 - 4.75
17.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 17.9% | 20.5% | 7.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 55.0% | 54.0% | 47.3% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 25.0% | 23.8% | 36.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 8.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 26, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.155
4.75 - 5.00
44.9%
5.00 - 5.25
33.2%
5.25 - 5.50
8.3%
5.50 - 5.75
0.6%
4.50 - 4.75
13.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 5.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 44.9% | 45.7% | 36.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 33.2% | 31.3% | 39.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 8.3% | 7.2% | 15.8% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.6% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 20, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.245
4.75 - 5.00
31.5%
5.00 - 5.25
38.1%
5.25 - 5.50
18.8%
5.50 - 5.75
3.8%
5.75 - 6.00
0.3%
4.50 - 4.75
7.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 7.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 24.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 38.1% | 37.6% | 38.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 18.8% | 17.8% | 25.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.460
4.75 - 5.00
20.5%
5.00 - 5.25
35.1%
5.25 - 5.50
27.6%
5.50 - 5.75
10.7%
5.75 - 6.00
1.9%
6.00 - 6.25
0.1%
4.50 - 4.75
4.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 20.5% | 21.0% | 14.6% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 35.1% | 35.1% | 31.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 27.6% | 27.3% | 31.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 10.7% | 10.3% | 15.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 13, 2023 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.580
4.75 - 5.00
4.4%
5.00 - 5.25
20.8%
5.25 - 5.50
34.9%
5.50 - 5.75
27.3%
5.75 - 6.00
10.5%
6.00 - 6.25
1.9%
6.25 - 6.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 20.8% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 34.9% | 35.0% | 31.6% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 27.3% | 27.0% | 29.3% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.4% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 6.50 - 6.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 19, 2023 04:45AM EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
European stocks lower on recession fears; Boohoo slumps
By Investing.com - Jan 19, 2023
2
By Peter Nurse Investing.com - European stock markets fell Thursday, following the weaker global sentiment as investors fretted about the possibility of a recession this year. At 04:10 ET (09:10...
Dollar slips lower; recession fears mount
By Investing.com - Jan 19, 2023
2
By Peter Nurse Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Thursday, continuing its recent selloff after weak U.S. economic data hinted at an upcoming recession, providing more...
European stock futures lower as recession fears rise
By Investing.com - Jan 19, 2023
1
By Peter Nurse Investing.com - European stock markets are expected to open lower Thursday, taking their lead from the overnight selloff on Wall Street as weak economic data raised fears about a...
Analysis
Looking Across the Fixed Income Spectrum
By ETF Central - Jan 17, 2023
Though a rising interest rate environment adversely affects fixed-rate bond investments, the defining attributes of floating rate debt, incoming generation and low price sensitivity, have proven...
Commodities Week Ahead: Chinese, U.S. Data to Spin Different Tales for Oil
By Barani Krishnan/Investing.com - Jan 17, 2023
10
Dismal Chinese data could deal a setback to bull story in oil Those long crude can still put a positive spin on weak U.S. retail sales Traders bet Fed rate hike in Feb will be smallest in 8 months if...
1 Stock to Buy, 1 Stock to Dump This Week: Netflix, Goldman Sachs
By Jesse Cohen/Investing.com - Jan 16, 2023
7
U.S. earnings season, retail sales, housing data, PPI inflation in focus Netflix stock is a buy with earnings on deck Goldman Sachs shares set to underperform amid weak Q4 results Stocks on Wall...