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“When the supply and demand for bonds normalize, Treasury bond investors will likely realize that economics, inflation, and other factors warrant much lower yields.” The quote from Yields...
The Federal Reserve is expected to lift interest rates again at the next FOMC meeting on Feb. 1, but the futures market is pricing in high odds that the increase will be trimmed to a relatively mild...
Celebrating the drop in German inflation may be premature and headwinds to bond performance, especially for those denominated in euros, remain. The Fed minutes might not fulfill all of the...
Now that we are one day into the new year, there are 2 pieces of advice we can give you. First, is to learn a strategy and then become a specialist in that strategy. For example, why not pick phases?...
Markets continue to fall, and trailing yields continue to rise. The inverse relationship, in theory, presents yield-hungry investors with enhanced opportunity. The challenge, as always, is whether to...
Most of the major asset classes suffered last week as markets reassessed the risk of ongoing hikes in interest rates and elevated recession risk, based on a set of ETFs for the trading week through...
Markets need to re-think the sustainability of the bond rally seen in the past month. Nominal and real rates are seen up. But not by very much. With no sense as of yet that the Fed is done, we...
10-Year US Yields About to Rebound Higher?The United States 10-Year Yields have been pulling back since toping back in October at 4.33% but are they about to rebound from current levels? The market...
The past few years have seen extreme volatility in the bond market, equating to similar interest rate fluctuations. And it all started with the onset of the coronavirus. The initial panic decline in...
Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy. This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate...
Stocks are overbought and overvalued relative to bonds Over the next year or so, the macro and liquidity environment suggest bonds will fare significantly better than stocks. Institutions will...
“Get tomorrow’s Bloomberg headline, today, at Contrarian Outlook!” Our new slogan for 2023? Perhaps. I bring it up because our bond recession trade has already gained steam into an...
Weaker domestic inflation and lower dollar tailwinds for international fixed income Emerging market bonds have rallied sharply off their October low Continuation likely, but gains could be...
ИК "Иволга Капитал" подготовила статистику и проанализировала данные по рынку. Полный обзор см. в прикрепленном файле.Краткие выводы: Объемы новых размещений ВДО стабилизировались на уровне 750 – 1000...
For someone who uses the bond markets as important indicators to the macro analysis, I am the furthest thing from an astute bond trader and am certainly not a bond investor. This probably owes to the...